East Tenn. St.
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
350  Katie Hirko JR 20:42
1,256  Macy Carrier FR 21:49
1,616  Victoria Hutchens SO 22:10
2,200  Lisa Pallotta JR 22:47
2,455  Sarah Zimmer FR 23:05
2,520  Carmen Hilliard SO 23:10
2,851  Kylie Rutherford FR 23:41
3,442  Brianna Goble FR 25:15
National Rank #180 of 341
South Region Rank #19 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 9.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Hirko Macy Carrier Victoria Hutchens Lisa Pallotta Sarah Zimmer Carmen Hilliard Kylie Rutherford Brianna Goble
UNCG Spartan Invitational 09/26 1208 20:45 21:39 22:03 22:34 23:41 23:11 23:35 25:04
Southern Conference Championship 10/31 1175 20:30 21:47 22:06 22:46 22:59 22:56 23:56 25:23
South Region Championships 11/14 1242 20:56 22:00 22:19 22:58 22:55 23:22 23:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.2 651 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.5 3.9 6.1 8.5 11.2 14.4 15.1 14.8 12.3 7.7 0.9 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Hirko 1.4% 159.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Hirko 27.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.4 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.4 3.8 3.4 3.1 3.6 3.4 3.7
Macy Carrier 113.2
Victoria Hutchens 137.2
Lisa Pallotta 178.0
Sarah Zimmer 197.3
Carmen Hilliard 201.9
Kylie Rutherford 224.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.3% 0.3 15
16 0.3% 0.3 16
17 0.7% 0.7 17
18 1.2% 1.2 18
19 2.5% 2.5 19
20 3.9% 3.9 20
21 6.1% 6.1 21
22 8.5% 8.5 22
23 11.2% 11.2 23
24 14.4% 14.4 24
25 15.1% 15.1 25
26 14.8% 14.8 26
27 12.3% 12.3 27
28 7.7% 7.7 28
29 0.9% 0.9 29
30 0.1% 0.1 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0